Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.180617 0.209189 0.240804 0.278380 0.321834 0.370520 0.429228
2025-08-17 0.129474 0.165991 0.210627 0.269216 0.344145 0.436849 0.560417
2025-08-24 0.107636 0.148057 0.200993 0.275424 0.377496 0.512774 0.706079
2025-08-31 0.091225 0.132895 0.190620 0.276472 0.401109 0.575823 0.840075
2025-09-07 0.079868 0.122274 0.183946 0.280237 0.427095 0.643206 0.986564
2025-09-14 0.068660 0.109885 0.172503 0.274615 0.437370 0.687512 1.102836
2025-09-21 0.060414 0.100687 0.164333 0.272326 0.451531 0.738102 1.233461
2025-09-28 0.054587 0.094455 0.159820 0.274884 0.473084 0.801901 1.391905
2025-10-05 0.051671 0.092608 0.162075 0.288649 0.514436 0.902150 1.622613
2025-10-12 0.048354 0.089583 0.161849 0.297873 0.548651 0.993493 1.847856
2025-10-19 0.045131 0.086280 0.160658 0.305042 0.579689 1.082117 2.077792
2025-10-26 0.041611 0.081966 0.157078 0.307236 0.601507 1.155876 2.287802
2025-11-02 0.037637 0.076390 0.150659 0.303559 0.612267 1.211156 2.471069
2025-11-09 0.033402 0.069796 0.141559 0.293584 0.609559 1.240312 2.606432
2025-11-16 0.031453 0.067596 0.140844 0.300355 0.641296 1.340902 2.899293
2025-11-23 0.029151 0.064363 0.137637 0.301499 0.661306 1.419481 3.154644
2025-11-30 0.027356 0.061996 0.135942 0.305606 0.687972 1.514601 3.456525
2025-12-07 0.024882 0.057830 0.129918 0.299473 0.691329 1.559729 3.652005
2025-12-14 0.022952 0.054667 0.125738 0.296977 0.702518 1.623145 3.896423
2025-12-21 0.021591 0.052667 0.123947 0.299766 0.726186 1.717169 4.223440
2025-12-28 0.021164 0.052842 0.127176 0.314780 0.780488 1.887850 4.754738
2026-01-04 0.020425 0.052165 0.128314 0.324842 0.823875 2.037253 5.251022
2026-01-11 0.019592 0.051157 0.128543 0.332661 0.862553 2.179320 5.745392